[SoLiDUS]

Originally Posted by Bad

Imagine if you were one of the thiry people. On the first day, you walked around and looked at the other 29 people's back, and you've found NO ONE with a red dot.

What do you do then?

Obviously assuming yourself to be the only red-dotted person in the group,
you would take your own life and the game would end. Otherwise, if no one
were painted, everyone would make the assumption and a collective suicide
would ensue. I'm hoping that the aliens play fair and actually paint one or
more humans.

Suppose two people have red dots on their backs: obviously, they will each
count 28 people with clean backs and one with a red dot. Now what ?

They will either deduce that one of them has a red dot or that both do. Now,
being one of these fellows and knowing that another has a red dot and that
you might also have one, how would you proceed ? Would you take a chance
and risk killing everyone by inaction or would you simply take your life ?

I will assume that they both take their lives. Now, since the game doesn't
end until August 8th ... (to be continued)